19:02  JECK: Buffeted by recent financial market turbulence and a weakening U.S. performance, world growth is projected to slow to 4.1 percent in 2008, down from an estimated 4.9 percent last year, the IMF said in its quarterly update for the global economy.

Financial market strains originating in the U.S. subprime sector—and associated losses on bank balance sheets—have intensified, while the recent steep sell-off in global equity markets was symptomatic of rising uncertainty, the IMF stated

19:03  LANA777: kapelka e-mail ответ :)

19:03  JECK: Western Europe

Growth has also slowed in western Europe and confidence indicators have generally deteriorated. For the euro area, growth on an annual basis is projected at 1.6 percent in 2008, down from 2.6 percent last year. On a Q4-Q4 basis, growth is projected at 1.3 percent, compared with 2.3 percent in 2007.

At a January 29 news briefing in Washington, IMF research head Simon Johnson said inflation remained a serious concern in Europe and the European Central Bank had done a good job of managing liquidity

19:04  Хозяин тайги: Timurka\\приходилось(с)-Спортлото 82

19:05  JECK: Japan

Japanese growth has been dampened by a tightening in building standards, while consumer and business sentiment have weakened. Japan's growth is forecast on an annual basis at 1.5 percent in 2008, down from 1.9 percent last year, although on a Q4-Q4 basis growth is forecast to improve somewhat to 1.6 percent from 1.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2007.

19:09  Хозяин тайги: кстати,при продаже еврофунта я закрыл продажи фунта.Так вот и живем-можем.
Тимурка//еврофунт щас в диапазоне,милое дело 7490-7390.Щас правда сузился.

19:11  JECK: Emerging markets and developing countries

Despite some slowing of export growth, emerging market and developing countries have thus far continued to expand strongly, led by China and India. These countries have benefited from the strong momentum of domestic demand, more disciplined macroeconomic policy frameworks, and in the case of commodity exporters, from high food and energy prices.

Growth in emerging market and developing countries is also expected to ease, moderating from 7.8 percent (annual basis) in 2007 to 6.9 percent in 2008. In China, growth is projected to decelerate from 11.4 percent to 10 percent, which should help alleviate overheating concerns.

But growth in Africa is projected to pick up to 7.0 percent from 6.0 percent in 2007.

19:11  JECK: Inflation and interest rates

Headline inflation has increased since mid-2007 in both advanced and emerging economies. Core inflation has also drifted upward. In the United States, the Federal Reserve has been cutting interest rates in response to increasing downside risks to activity, while policy has been on hold in the euro area and Japan. Meanwhile, central banks have continued to tighten monetary policy in many emerging market economies, where food and energy represent a higher share of consumption baskets and overheating is more of a concern.

19:12  JECK: вот так вот думет швецария

19:14  Хозяин тайги: А вообще у меня с еврофунтом счеты еще с2003 года.Тогда он меня жостка поимел.Теперь он мне за все ответит.уже отвечает.

19:14  JECK: Ottawa – The Bank of Canada's key overnight lending rate could fall as low as 3% before the year is half over, economists from CIBC World Markets say in a report released Wednesday.

19:15  kapelka: LANA777...выставилю бу.. перед ставкои пока 1.9960

19:15  Timurka: Хозяин тайги где то я читал, что нельзя отыгрываться, иначе переходит в азарт ?

19:15  kapelka: LANA777...КАК БЫ 2 не поцеловат

19:16  Хозяин тайги: там же,Джека,про Африку,вроде.

19:17  Хозяин тайги: Timurka\\отыгрываться НЕЛЬЗЯ, но МСТИТЬ нада!

19:18  gregor_: подскажите если ставку срежут на 50 пунктов то ена будет рости или падать?особенно в фуй

19:18  JECK: The central bank trimmed its target rate by 25 basis points last week to an even 4% and suggested that further easing was on the way. In their outlook, CIBC economists say the Bank of Canada’s slim quarter-point cut "belies the downside risks to financial market stability and economic growth, and given low core inflation, we could see up to another 100 bps in easing over the next two quarters." That would keep the spread between Canadian and U.S. rates at no greater than 50 basis points, they write.

However, they say the bank’s credit easing program should be complete by the second half of the year as the U.S. economy begins responding to monetary and fiscal stimulus.

The Canadian dollar should hover near parity for the first half of the year, but with oil prices headed back to $100 U.S. per barrel, they say the loonie will appreciate to 0.95 C$/US$, "still below its recent record levels, but consistent with a healthy trade surplus and the potential for another round of inbound M&A activity—this time in the energy secto

19:19  JECK: вот умна да )вроде)

19:20  news_robot: Господа, в разделе Валютный рынок появился новый комментарий

19:22  kapelka: LANA777...сейчас как зарядят нам ставку.... хорошо бы без сюрпризов

19:22  LANA777: kapelka e-mail это же фунт... а как ты 2.0 видишь? вот сейчас, например. Если не секрет.

19:24  JECK: Хозяин тайги да там все)африка европа азия

19:25  Хозяин тайги: Timurka\\где ты видишь у меня азарт.Общая стратегия продажи. Есть позы у меня с верхушки,но есть и ниже текущих.Тактика в рамках стратегии такова.На падениях фунта при стоящей еве,еврофунт подскакивает,где я его пускаю в засол.Фунт отрастает,пускаю фунта в засол(что более рискованно),а текущие диапазонные продажи еврофунта фиксю.Но на удачных подскоках еврофунта засол перевожу в разряд стратегических.Общий объем в засоле немного подрастает.На этих уровнях не страшно.Он может долго снижаться,но дорога ему всяко на юг.Посмотри на недельный график.Я бы хотел еще добавить шортов от 9507-9490